Keefe Bruyette & Woods
Upgrade grade
B
Downgrade grade
A
Keefe Bruyette & Woods, founded in 1962, established itself as a pioneering specialist in financial services equity research when the sector was largely overlooked by mainstream Wall Street analysts. The firm became known for its deep institutional knowledge of banks, insurance companies, and diversified financial institutions, building a reputation for rigorous fundamental analysis at a time when few competitors focused on these sectors. With approximately 1,541 analyst ratings calls on US equities in our database, KBW has developed into a significant voice in financial services research and maintains strong relationships across the banking and insurance communities. What distinguishes KBW's research culture is their contrarian positioning and willingness to challenge consensus views on financial sector valuations, particularly during periods of market stress when their institutional expertise becomes most valuable to clients seeking to navigate complex regulatory and economic environments.
Upgrades
252
79.37% win rate
· avg +1.70% D1
Downgrades
282
79.43% win rate
· avg -2.07% D1
Avg Gap — Upgrades
+1.42%
open vs prev close
Avg Gap — Downgrades
-1.93%
open vs prev close
Performance by Sector
| Sector | ↑ Win% | ↑ D1 | ↓ Win% | ↓ D1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 79.13% (230) | +1.79% | 80.23% (263) | -2.17% |
| Real Estate | 85.71% (14) | +1.04% | 81.82% (11) | -1.27% |
Win Rate by Year
| Year | ↑ Win% | ↑ Calls | ↓ Win% | ↓ Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 93.3% | 15 | 88.5% | 26 |
| 2018 | 73.0% | 37 | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2017 | 80.0% | 40 | 89.7% | 29 |
| 2016 | 73.3% | 30 | 64.8% | 54 |
| 2015 | 76.3% | 38 | 84.6% | 52 |
| 2014 | 83.3% | 36 | 70.0% | 30 |
| 2013 | 86.1% | 36 | 83.0% | 47 |
| 2012 | 73.3% | 15 | 90.9% | 11 |
Recent Calls
| Date | Ticker | Company | Sector | Action | Grade Change | PT | Gap | D1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2021 | TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. | Financial Services | Upgrade | Market Perform → Outperform | — | +2.6% | +3.7% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. | Financial Services | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | AMTB | Amerant Bancorp Inc. | Financial Services | Downgrade | Outperform → Perform | — | -2.1% | +0.6% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | EFC | Ellington Financial Inc. | Real Estate | Maintains | Market Perform → Perform | — | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | LC | LendingClub Corporation | Financial Services | Upgrade | Underperform → Perform | — | -0.5% | +7.6% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | LC | LendingClub Corporation | Financial Services | Downgrade | Market Perform → Underperform | — | -0.5% | +7.6% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | FSK | FS KKR Capital Corp. | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Perform | — | +1.5% | +4.4% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | PFSI | PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | Financial Services | Upgrade | Market Perform → Outperform | — | +0.3% | -0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | PFSI | PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | Financial Services | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | +0.3% | -0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | PFSI | PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | Financial Services | Downgrade | Outperform → Perform | — | +0.3% | -0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | Financial Services | Upgrade | Market Perform → Outperform | — | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | Financial Services | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | Financial Services | Downgrade | Outperform → Perform | — | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | ARES | Ares Management Corporation | Financial Services | Downgrade | Outperform → Perform | — | +0.2% | +0.9% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | ARES | Ares Management Corporation | Financial Services | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | +0.2% | +0.9% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | AON | Aon plc | Financial Services | Upgrade | Market Perform → Outperform | — | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | AON | Aon plc | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Perform | — | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | AON | Aon plc | Financial Services | Downgrade | Outperform → Perform | — | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| Nov 25, 2020 | BX | Blackstone Inc. | Financial Services | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | +0.1% | +1.1% |
| May 8, 2020 | FSK | FS KKR Capital Corp. | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Market Perform | — | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| May 8, 2020 | TW | Tradeweb Markets Inc. | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Perform | — | +3.3% | +5.3% |
| May 8, 2020 | FISV | Fiserv, Inc. | Technology | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | -0.6% | -2.4% |
| May 7, 2020 | TPVG | TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Market Perform | — | +10.0% | +10.3% |
| May 7, 2020 | NREF | NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. | Real Estate | Maintains | Outperform → Outperform | — | +3.9% | +0.0% |
| May 7, 2020 | JRVR | James River Group Holdings, Ltd. | Financial Services | Maintains | Market Perform → Market Perform | — | +1.0% | +0.7% |